The total population will decline over the next decades and is expected to fall from the current 55,860 persons to 52-53,000 towards 2040.

By 2040, about 3,000 fewer will be living in Greenland than today if no unexpected changes in fertility, mortality or immigration and immigration flows occur.

Table 1 The Population’s age distribution 1987-2040, selected years

See figures in our Statbank ( http://bank.stat.gl/beeprog )

Throughout the projection period, the oldest part of the population (67+) will double. The part in working ages will fall, but still account for almost half of the population.

These are the main
results of a projection of the Greenlandic population until
2040, based on the population count of January 1^{st}
2017. The projection was conducted at a lower level of
ambition than previous, as only the population estimates has
been updated for the country projection and all assumptions
are unchanged from the 2016 projections.

The lower level of ambition is chosen to allow time to rewrite the projection model using Statbank Greenland as datasource for the calculations. Also, the technical calculation methods will be revised for comparability to methods used by Statistics Denmark. For example, the Danish method of fertility calculation was revised in 2014.

Finally, regional
projections must be changed to take account of the division
of Qaasuitsup Municipality, cf. Inatsisart n 30 of November
28^{th} 2016 on structural reform of the municipal
sector from 2018. Regional projection results from the
previous years can be found in StatBank Greenland at
http://bank.stat.gl/beeprogreg

Greenland Statistics
aim to publish results on October 5^{th},
2017.

Detailed calculation results on gender, 1 year age and place of birth can be